Game Theory and a Belief in God
I just finished listening to a fascinating book called Algorithms
to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions about how some of the
important problems in math and computer science relate to our everyday
lives. One of the discussions was around
game theory, and the book spoke about a problem called the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Two crooks that worked together in a crime
are arrested and put in separate locations.
They can’t discuss between themselves, but because the prosecution doesn’t
have enough evidence they are offered a bargain such that if either tells on
the other they will be rewarded. It A
tells on B but B doesn’t tell on A, A goes free. If A tells on B but B also tells on A, they
each serve two years. If A doesn’t tell
on B but B tells on A, A serves 3 years.
If A and B both remain silent, they each serve one year. From a self-interested perspective, A should
always tell on B, since whatever B does, A telling on B makes things better for
A. The same goes for B, and thus the
most rational choice for the best possible outcome is to defect and tell on the
other. But the outcome that results from
this (both serving two years) is worse than the outcome of mutual cooperation
(both staying silent). Wikipedia describes
the situation this way: “The dilemma then is that mutual cooperation yields a
better outcome than mutual defection but it is not the rational outcome because
from a self-interested perspective, the choice to cooperate, at the individual
level, is irrational.” In other words,
the best outcome can be reached only with come outside force that will motivate
collaboration; the self-interested choice gives a less than desirable outcome
for everyone. We see the same kind of
problem in the real world in as simple examples as determining whether or not
to be honest: there are many situations in which lying will give you an advantage
(it’s the rational choice if the only thing you are looking out for is your own
self-interest) without immediately negative consequences. And yet everyone choosing that “rational” strategy
makes life for the society as a whole far worse off. So what is the answer to the dilemma—well,
the book suggests one: God.
A
belief in God, and in particular a belief in a final judgment where we will
stand before God to account for our acts, changes everything. Suddenly the question of whether to lie, or
steal, or commit adultery, or use violence on others, etc. can no longer only
look at the present maximization of self- interest. Because there is an ultimate authority to
whom we must answer and who provides eternal rewards, our best, self-interested
choice is no longer to lie or kill or use others unduly. As the Lord put it in the Doctrine and
Covenants, “If you keep my commandments and endure to the end you shall have
eternal life, which gift is the greatest of all the gifts of God” (D&C
14:7). If we believe that, then
following the commandments is the best, self-interested choice because it will
give us the “greatest” benefit in the long run.
God’s commandments and rules provide us with exactly what we need to
have stable society because it’s puts in check behaviors that would otherwise
ruin society. Even for those who don’t
believe in God, it becomes clear that obeying commandments that curb our
negative behaviors towards others are incredibly beneficial to society and
provide a much better outcome than a world where no one felt any duty towards
others or a higher power. So we say to
all of society with King Benjamin, “Believe in God; believe that he is, and that
he created all things, both in heaven and in earth…. And
again, believe that ye must repent of your sins and forsake them, and humble
yourselves before God; and ask in sincerity of heart that he would forgive you”
(Mosiah 4:9-10). Our best chance for a
society that we all want is one in which a faith in God and our accountability
towards Him plays a powerful role.
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